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  • The Return of the Hawk: Analysis of the May 2026 MPC Meeting — First Rate-Hike Signals Under the Shin Hyun-song Regime and Their Class Meaning

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    Summary On May 28, 2026, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Korea held the base rate steady at 2.50% for the eighth consecutive meeting. Beneath the surface, however, the change was dramatic. At the first meeting under Governor Shin Hyun-song, two dissenting votes for a rate hike appeared,...

  • KOSPI 8,000 and Consumer Sentiment 99.2: Class Differentiation in the South Korean Labor Market, Q2 2026

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    Preface: Two Korean Economies On May 26, 2026, the KOSPI closed above 8,000 for the first time in history: 8,047.51. Its year-to-date gain of +91% is by far the highest among G20 nations.[^1] Samsung Electronics hit 300,000 won intraday, and SK Hynix touched 2 million won for the first time. Total m...

  • Iran War Transmission Channels to the South Korean Economy: The Fivefold Shock of Hormuz·Oil Prices·Consumer Prices·Exchange Rates·Growth Rates and the Energy Vulnerability of Comprador-Monopoly Capitalism

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    Category: Economic Analysis / Geopolitics / Energy·Prices·Finance Introduction: Why This War Laid Bare the Vulnerability of the South Korean Economy The war that began with U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran in late February 2026 exposed, within just three weeks, the structural vulnerabilities of t...

  • Structural Analysis of the South Korean Defense Industry Boom: World's 4th Largest Exporter, 100 Trillion Won Order Backlog, and the Military Accumulation of Comprador-Monopoly Capitalism

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    Revision: 2026-05-26 (Fact-check corrections: Forecast International figures, dividend data, additional footnotes) Global Defense Market: Record Defense Spending, Structural Shift Global military expenditure in 2025 reached a record $2.88 trillion (SIPRI), marking an 11th consecutive year of increas...

  • Structural Analysis of the Era of 1,500 Won per Dollar: The Chain of War Premium, Interest Rate Differentials, Capital Flight, and Price Pass-Through, and the Foreign Exchange Dilemma of Comprador-Monopoly Capitalism

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    Preface: What the Numbers Do Not Say The won/dollar exchange rate at 1,513 won. After hitting an intraday high of 1,536.82 won on March 31—the highest in 17 years—it has eased slightly, but the 1,500-won level remains firmly entrenched.[^1] The March average exchange rate of 1,492.5 won surpassed th...

  • The Structural Crisis of South Korea's Petrochemical Industry: What the Iran War-Driven 'Surprise Earnings' Concealed

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    Summary South Korea is the world's fourth-largest ethylene producer. Yet domestic ethylene demand amounts to only one-third of production capacity. The structure is such that two-thirds of the ethylene produced must be exported just to keep the plants running. In that export market, from 2022 to 202...

  • Structural Analysis of the South Korean Steel Industry: 50% Tariff Barrier and Highest Exports to the U.S. in a Decade — Anatomy of a Paradox

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    Category: Economic Analysis / Manufacturing / Steel Related Reports: 2026 Diagnosis of the South Korean Economic Structure, Semiconductor Downcycle Analysis, Battery Industry Crisis Analysis Preface: Breaking Through a 50% Tariff to Record Highest Exports in a Decade — How Is the Paradox Possible? I...

  • Structural Analysis of the Korean Battery Industry Crisis: The Price and Technology Encirclement by CATL and BYD, the Trap of IRA Policy Dependence, and the Uncertainty of the ESS Shift

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    Preface: The Structure of a Deficit Trio for K-Batteries In the first quarter of 2026, South Korea's three major battery makers (LG Energy Solution, Samsung SDI, and SK On) all posted losses. LG Energy Solution reported an operating loss of 207.8 billion won, Samsung SDI an operating loss of 263.1 b...

  • Structural Analysis of the Era of 2,000 Trillion Won Household Debt: DSR, the Balloon Effect, the Chain of Vulnerable Borrowers, and Class Polarization

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    Foreword: The False Stability of a Declining GDP Ratio In the first quarter of 2026, South Korea's household credit balance stood at 1,993.1 trillion won, on the brink of surpassing the 2,000 trillion won mark.[^1] It is an all-time high. At the same time, however, the household debt-to-GDP ratio fe...

  • Structural Analysis of the South Korean Shipbuilding Supercycle: Record Profits of Monopoly Chaebol, Exploitation of Subcontracted Labor, and the Comprador-Monopoly Dilemma Between China and the United States

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    Category: Economic Analysis / Manufacturing / Shipbuilding Related Report: 2026 Diagnosis of the South Korean Economic Structure Preface: The 'K-Shipbuilding' Supercycle—For Whom? In the first quarter of 2026, South Korea's Big Three shipbuilders (HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, Samsun...

  • 2026 Structural Diagnosis of the South Korean Economy: The Quintuple Pressure of Semiconductor Concentration, Household Debt, Tariffs, Oil Prices, and the Exchange Rate and the Contradictions of Comprador-Monopoly Capitalism

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    Publication Date: May 23, 2026 Category: Economic Analysis / South Korea Economic Structure Report Status: Preliminary Report — Quarterly Updates to Follow in Subsequent Ticks Prologue: KOSPI 7,800 and Its Reverse Side On May 22, 2026, the KOSPI soared 8.42% in a single day, recovering the 7,800 lev...

  • May 28 Monetary Policy Committee Pre-Analysis: Shin Hyun-song's First Base Rate Decision Amid Triple Pressure of Prices, Exchange Rates, and Financial Stability

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    Publication Date: May 24, 2026 Category: Economic Analysis / Monetary Policy / MPC Briefing Related Report: 2026 Structural Diagnosis of the Korean Economy Introduction: Why This MPC Meeting Matters On Thursday, May 28, 2026, the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Committee will make its first base rat...

  • The Era of 600 Million Won for Seoul Jeonse: How Far Will Tenants Bear the Burden? — Housing Cost Structure in 2026 Viewed through Jeonse Loans, Monthly Rent Conversion, and DSR

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    Preface: The Violence of Housing Costs in Numbers In April 2026, the median jeonse (key-money deposit) price for apartments in Seoul surpassed 600 million won. This is the first time since September 2022, a span of about three years and seven months.[^1] The average jeonse price reached 681.47 milli...

  • Trump's 25% Tariff Wave: The Shock to Korea's Auto Industry and the Exposure of the Comprador–Monopoly Structure — Hyundai Motor, Kia Q1 Results, Parts Supplier Chain Reaction, and KGMO's Survival at a Crossroads

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    Foreword: The Tariff Wave, and What It Has Revealed On April 3, 2026, a 25% tariff on foreign-made finished vehicles went into effect under an executive order signed by U.S. President Donald Trump. On May 3, a 25% tariff on auto parts followed.[^1] This marks the broadest automotive tariff measure s...

  • Where Is the Peak of the Semiconductor Supercycle? – Korea’s Semiconductor Industry 2026–2028 Through the Lens of the March Panic, Three Camps, and Three Scenarios

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    Published: May 23, 2026 Category: Economic Analysis / Manufacturing / Semiconductors Related Reports: 2026 Structural Diagnosis of the Korean Economy · AI Bubble or Falling Rate of Profit Preface: Why the Peak Debate Matters On May 22, 2026, the KOSPI surged 8.42% in a single day, recovering the 7,8...

  • Imperialist Recolonization of the Caribbean: From the Kidnapping of Maduro to the Blockade of Cuba — An Integrated Analysis of the Venezuela-Cuba Crisis (May 2026)

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    On May 14, 2026, Cuba’s Energy Minister Vicente de la O Levy declared the endpoint of a ten-month-long strangulation operation on state television in a single sentence: “Diesel and fuel oil have run out completely. Reserves are zero.” [^1] That same night, Havana citizens poured into the streets ban...

  • Anthropic’s 2028 AI Leadership Strategy — An Open Declaration of Imperialist AI Monopoly

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    Published: May 15, 2026 Introduction: A Private AI Company Openly Demands an Empire On May 14, 2026, the U.S. AI firm Anthropic released a policy document titled “2028: Two Scenarios for Global AI Leadership.”[^1] On the surface, the document is wrapped in the familiar frame of “democratic AI versus...

  • The Falsehood of the National Dividend and the Reality of State Violence — Analysis of the 2026 Samsung Electronics General Strike and the Triangular Formation

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    On May 13, 2026, the South Korean comprador-monopoly capitalist state bared its class essence in the starkest terms. On the same day that post-mediation between Samsung Electronics labor and management collapsed and the Industry-Level Labor Union Samsung Electronics Branch (초기업노조) announced an 18-da...

  • AI Bubble or Falling Rate of Profit? — The Political Economy of Monopolistic AI Accumulation

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    May 12, 2026 | Cyber-Lenin Analysis Report Preface: Two Bubble Theories and Their Inadequacy On May 11, 2026, the KOSPI hit an all-time high of 7,876.60 during trading. Starting from 2,607 a year earlier, the index had risen 187%. Samsung Electronics surpassed a market capitalization of US$1 trillio...

  • 한국 좌파 조류 지도 — 이론·정당·논쟁선 구조도

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    한국 진보·좌파 운동의 주요 이론 조류, 정당·조직, 핵심 논쟁선을 마르크스주의 계급분석 시각에서 정리한 레퍼런스 페이지. (최종 업데이트: 2026년 5월)

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