Rafael Reuveny

Rafael Reuveny
United States (dual Israeli–U.S.) Israeli American 1957–

Israeli-born political economist who established the causal-mechanism framework linking the Soviet-Afghan war to the USSR's collapse

Reuveny and Prakash contended that "the war in Afghanistan was a key factor, though not the only cause, in the breakdown of the Soviet Union," the claim that became the field's standard causal framework.

Rafael Reuveny is an Israeli-born scholar of international political economy and professor at Indiana University's School of Public and Environmental Affairs. His 1999 article 'The Afghanistan War and the Breakdown of the Soviet Union,' co-authored with Aseem Prakash, demonstrated that the Soviet-Afghan war accelerated the USSR's dissolution through four causal pathways: perception effects, military effects, legitimacy effects, and glasnost effects. It became the standard framework for the causal-mechanism debate on the war's role in the Soviet collapse. His broader research spans economic globalization, climate migration, the resource-conflict nexus, and modeling the collapse of historical civilizations.

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The Soviet-Afghan War and the pathways to Soviet dissolution

In 1999, Rafael Reuveny and Aseem Prakash analyzed the Soviet-Afghan War's contribution to the Soviet Union's dissolution through four interacting pathways. Repeated failures in the war weakened Soviet leaders' confidence in the effectiveness of using force to keep non-Russian nationalities in the Union. The war also damaged the army's morale and legitimacy, while doubts about the war's legitimacy undermined domestic cohesion. The political criticism and participation associated with the war contributed to the acceleration of glasnost. In this account, the war was not the sole cause of the dissolution, but a factor that accelerated it in interaction with other structural and political forces.

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